Question

How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction82 (46.9 - 122)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>250

...

46.89

82.04

121.7

1.4%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Medicine

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Gene-Edited Pig Kidney Gives Living Donor New Lease on Life

•Dec 18, 2024

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How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?

394

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

0.74

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Medicine

A U.S. farm breeds pigs for human kidney transplants

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

World’s First Genetically-Edited Pig Kidney Transplant into Living Recipient Performed at Massachusetts General Hospital

•Dec 18, 2024

Gene-Edited Pig Kidney Gives Living Donor New Lease on Life

•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?

394

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

0.74

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

10%

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How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026?

Make a Prediction

How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

Comments

How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?