MetaculusM

Question

Question

Will federal criminal charges be levied against Donald Trump within a month of the end of his presidency?

Resolved :No

10

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction17%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

59.6

Community Peer Score

7.2

median 17.0%mean 20.7%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Trump won’t face 2020 election-related charges while he’s in office. But others will.

MSNBC•Nov 14, 2024

US special counsel seeks pause in Trump classified documents case

Al Jazeera•Nov 14, 2024

Trump New York Case May Be 'Rule of Law's Last Stand'—Ex-Prosecutor

Newsweek•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Trump won’t face 2020 election-related charges while he’s in office. But others will.

MSNBC•Nov 14, 2024

US special counsel seeks pause in Trump classified documents case

Al Jazeera•Nov 14, 2024

Trump New York Case May Be 'Rule of Law's Last Stand'—Ex-Prosecutor

Newsweek•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch