Question

When will the next interstellar object be discovered?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction2025-05

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2030-12

...

2024-03

2025-05

2026-08

2.6%

Authors:

Garrett_Levine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Natural Sciences

Outline of space science

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

5e-1

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

2.69

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Garrett_Levine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Natural Sciences

Outline of space science

Planet Discovered Around Closest Single Star to Sun

Newsweek•Oct 1, 2024

Found: A Planet Orbiting The Closest Single Star To Our Sun

Forbes•Oct 1, 2024

Planet spotted orbiting Barnard's star just 6 light years away

New Scientist•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

5e-1

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

2.69

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When will the next interstellar object be discovered?

Make a Prediction

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Comments

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?