Question

When will the next interstellar object be discovered?

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction2025-08-18 (2024-06-06 - 2026-12-29)

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weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2030-12-29
community	Jun 2024	Aug 2025	Dec 2026	4.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Jun 2024	—
median	Aug 2025	—
upper 75%	Dec 2026	—
Upper bound
>2030-12-29	4.1%	—

Authors:

Garrett_Levine

Opened:

Jan 18, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 8, 2031

Astronomers discover largest superstructure in cosmos — and it could change the way we think of outer space forever

New York Post•Feb 24, 2025

NASA Supercomputer Unveils Spiral Surprise at Solar System's Edge!

•Feb 24, 2025

NASA supercomputer reveals strange spiral structure at the edge of our solar system

•Feb 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

0.52

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

2.69

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Garrett_Levine

Opened:

Jan 18, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 8, 2031

Astronomers discover largest superstructure in cosmos — and it could change the way we think of outer space forever

New York Post•Feb 24, 2025

NASA Supercomputer Unveils Spiral Surprise at Solar System's Edge!

•Feb 24, 2025

NASA supercomputer reveals strange spiral structure at the edge of our solar system

•Feb 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

0.52

How many interstellar objects will be identified by the Vera Rubin Observatory is its first two years of observations?

2.69