Question

How many people in the UK will have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by 15th February?

Resolved :15.6M16.2M

25 comments25

Total Forecasters94

Community Prediction16.2M (14.9M - 17.7M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<5M

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>25M

...

0.3%

14.92M

16.23M

17.65M

0.6%

What was the final result?15.6M

Community Baseline Score

56.5

Community Peer Score

22.1

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

isaacdunn

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Urgent ‘festive flu’ warning as NHS urges people to book pre-Christmas jab

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Flu crisis in numbers: Hospitalisations up 360% from last year as NHS under strain

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

Will NHS England deliver an extra two million operations, scans, and appointments each year within the current Westminster parliament?

75%

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

2028-06-10

Comments

? comments