Question
How many people in the UK will have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by 15th February?
Resolved :15.6M16.2MTotal Forecasters94
Community Prediction16.2M (14.9M - 17.7M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5M | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 14.92M | — |
| median | 16.23M | — |
| upper 75% | 17.65M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >25M | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?15.6M
Community Baseline Score
56.5
Community Peer Score
22.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 19, 2021
Closes:Feb 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 16, 2021
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 19, 2021
Closes:Feb 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 16, 2021