M

Question

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?

Resolved :3.38k4.03k
Community Prediction4.19k4.88kJan 17Jan 21Jan 25Jan 29Feb 02Feb 06Feb 10Feb 14Feb 18Feb 22Feb 26Mar 02Mar 06Mar 10now
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction4.03k (3.8k - 4.27k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

2k2.2k2.4k2.6k2.8k3k3.2k3.4k3.6k3.8k4k4.2k4.4k4.6k4.8k5k5.2k5.4k5.6k5.8k6k
Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<2k0.3%
Quartiles
lower 25%3.805k
median4.031k
upper 75%4.269k
Upper bound
>6k0.6%

What was the final result?3.38k

Community Baseline Score
-3.2
Community Peer Score
27.6
Opened:Jan 15, 2021
Closes:Mar 13, 2021
Resolves:Jan 18, 2022

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