Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

2
3
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction195 (168 - 227)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>350
...
...
...
...
168
194.9
226.7
1.7%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting AI Progress
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Artificial Intelligence
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Machine learning

Comments

? comments