Question

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction195

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>350

...

168

194.9

226.7

1.7%

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MetaculusOutlooks

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Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

207

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

91.9

What will the price of IGM be, on 2030-12-13, in 2019 USD?

680

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Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning

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What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

207

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

91.9

What will the price of IGM be, on 2030-12-13, in 2019 USD?

680