Question

What will the price of IGM be, on 2030-12-13, in 2019 USD?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction680

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My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10k

...

7.5%

405.4

679.8

1.09k

0.4%

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MetaculusOutlooks

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Forecasting AI Progress

AI Progress Essay Contest

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

Yahoo! Finance

United States

IGM Financial

What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?

1.69k

What will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates?

213

What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?

6.36

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forecasting AI Progress

AI Progress Essay Contest

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

Yahoo! Finance

United States

IGM Financial

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What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?

1.69k

What will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates?

213

What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?

6.36