Question

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction34.8k (26.4k - 46.2k)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<5k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100k

...

0.2%

26.42k

34.76k

46.17k

1.9%

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Forecasting AI Progress

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Artificial Intelligence

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ArXiv

Machine learning

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Reinforcement learning

Q-learning

Temporal difference learning

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How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?

50k

How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?

110k

How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?

19.4k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

ArXiv

Machine learning

DQN

Reinforcement learning

Q-learning

Temporal difference learning

Will 2025 Be a "Technology Wake-Up Call" for Clinicians?

Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

OpenAI announces new o3 models

TechCrunch•Dec 21, 2024

OpenAI's o3 model aced a test of AI reasoning – but it's still not AGI

New Scientist•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?

50k

How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?

110k

How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?

19.4k

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How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?

Make a Prediction

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?

How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?

How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?

Comments

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?

How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?

How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?

How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?

How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?

How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?

How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?