Question

What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021?

Resolved :3.22

3 comments3

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction3.15

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<2.4

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>4.4

...

1.0%

3.013

3.152

3.306

0.6%

What was the final result?3.22

Community Baseline Score

60.5

Community Peer Score

15.4

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

EBSCO Information Services

Software

Gross domestic product

United States

Bureau of Economic Analysis

What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?

6.36

What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2030?

5.17

What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be United States-based in the TOP500 list on the following dates?

32.4

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