Question
Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters97
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 6%)
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Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
57.1
Community Peer Score
6.5
Authors:
Opened:Jan 17, 2021
Closes:Jan 20, 2025
Resolves:Jan 20, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 17, 2021
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, how many US Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by him on January 21, 2029?
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
21 Jul 2026
How many US Supreme Court Justices will be confirmed during the 2025 presidential term?
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 17, 2021
Closes:Jan 20, 2025
Resolves:Jan 20, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 17, 2021
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, how many US Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by him on January 21, 2029?
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
21 Jul 2026