Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?

Resolved :Yes70%
21
13
Total Forecasters89
Community Prediction70% (60% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
44.5
Community Peer Score
6.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
traviswfisher
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
2018 Leaderboard
Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster
SpaceX reusable launch system
Falcon Heavy
Colonization of Mars
SpaceX

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