🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform?

Resolved :No51%
22
70
Total Forecasters228
Community Prediction51% (43% - 57%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 51%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-22.6
Community Peer Score
29.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
emilowk
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Twitter
Donald Trump
Parler
Gab (social network)

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