Question

Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections?

Resolved :Yes99%

55 comments55

Total Forecasters355

Community Prediction99% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-6.4

Community Peer Score

8.5

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jan 19, 2021

Closes:

Nov 4, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 4, 2024

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Harry S. Truman

Lyndon B. Johnson

Republican Party (US)

Strategist Makes Prediction About Possible Kamala Harris 2028 Campaign

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

Mike Pence Takes Aim at Donald Trump: 'Deviated From This Record'

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

Is That All You've Got? Pete Buttigieg Mulling 2028 Presidential Run

Red State•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

25%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

45%

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

21%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jan 19, 2021

Closes:

Nov 4, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 4, 2024

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Harry S. Truman

Lyndon B. Johnson

Republican Party (US)

Strategist Makes Prediction About Possible Kamala Harris 2028 Campaign

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

Mike Pence Takes Aim at Donald Trump: 'Deviated From This Record'

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

Is That All You've Got? Pete Buttigieg Mulling 2028 Presidential Run

Red State•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

25%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

45%

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

21%