Question
When will the second SpaceX Starship flight be?
Resolved :Feb 2, 20212021-02-03Total Forecasters67
Community Prediction2021-02-03 (2021-01-31 - 2021-02-07)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 31 Jan 2021 | — |
| median | 03 Feb 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | 07 Feb 2021 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2021-12-31 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?Feb 2, 2021
Community Baseline Score
6.2
Community Peer Score
0.8
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2021
Closes:Sep 1, 2021
Resolves:Sep 1, 2021
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2021
Closes:Sep 1, 2021
Resolves:Sep 1, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch