Question
When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit?
Resolved :Above upper bound2022-05-07Total Forecasters149
Community Prediction2022-05-07 (2022-03-11 - 2022-07-30)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 11 Mar 2022 | — |
| median | 07 May 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | 30 Jul 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2025-01-01 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
-125.7
Community Peer Score
45.5
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
