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You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?

23
29
Total Forecasters107
Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

community: 5%
median 5.0%mean 13.9%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
uganda
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Cryptography
Mathematics
Quantum mechanics
Advanced Encryption Standard
Artificial intelligence
Computer science
Grover's algorithm
Cybersecurity standards
Cyber-security regulation

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