Question

Will Bill Gates fund a brain-computer interface company before 2031?

Resolved :Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-27.7

Community Peer Score

2.2

median 20.0%mean 33.9%

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Elon Musk

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-06-12

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

2039-02-13

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

54%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Elon Musk

Elon Musk's xAI raising up to $6 billion to purchase 100,000 Nvidia chips for Memphis data center

CNBC•Nov 15, 2024

From Jeff Bezos to Mark Zuckerberg, here are the billionaires investing in robots

Business Insider•Nov 17, 2024

Bill Gates Wants to Do What to Our Food Supply?

Townhall•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-06-12

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

2039-02-13

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

54%