Question

Will Bill Gates fund a brain-computer interface company before 2031?

Resolved :Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-27.7

Community Peer Score

2.2

median 20.0%mean 33.9%

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Elon Musk

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-06-12

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

2039-02-13

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

51%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Elon Musk

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Forbes•Oct 22, 2024

Bill Gates pours $50 MILLION into the presidential election to back Kamala Harris

Daily Mail•Oct 23, 2024

Bill Gates has given $50m to Kamala Harris campaign: ‘This election is different’

Independent•Oct 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-06-12

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

2039-02-13

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

51%