Question

Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024?

Resolved :No

48 comments48

Total Forecasters255

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

74.1

Community Peer Score

15.6

median 0.1%mean 0.9%

Authors:

charlieecho

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2014 Scottish independence referendum

Edinburgh

Greater London Authority

Scottish Parliament

United Kingdom

Scottish National Party

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