Question

Will UK festival Shambala take place in August 2021?

Resolved :No77%

6 comments6

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction77% (72% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 77%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-20.0

Community Peer Score

-4.9

Authors:

isaacdunn

Opened:

Jan 28, 2021

Closes:

Mar 31, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 20, 2021

Shambhala (music festival)

Public health

Virology

Epidemiology

Neil Young pulls out of Glastonbury 2025, claiming festival is ‘under corporate control’ of BBC

Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

Neil Young Drops Out of Glastonbury 2025, Claiming Festival Is ‘Under Corporate Control’ of British Broadcasting Corporation

Breitbart•Jan 27, 2025

Glastonbury Festival profits more than double amid ‘corporate’ criticism from Neil Young

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?

99.3%

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

55%

Will slaughterhouses be banned in the United Kingdom in 2050?

10%

Comments

? comments