Question

Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022?

Resolved :No

57 comments57

Total Forecasters165

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

7.6

Community Peer Score

12.7

median 20.0%mean 22.4%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Iran

Foreign policy of the Donald Trump administration

Mohammad Javad Zarif

United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231

Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

United States

Joe Biden

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

70%

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2030?

56%

If a Republican wins the 2024 US Presidential Election, will the US withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement before 2029?

83%

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