Question

What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in April 2021?

Resolved :628k

20 comments20

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction659k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<600k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1M

...

14.9%

621.7k

659.2k

706k

0.1%

What was the final result?628k

Community Baseline Score

11.7

Community Peer Score

14.4

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.83

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Jobless Claims Jump to 258,000, Higher Than Expected

Breitbart•Oct 10, 2024

US jobless claims hit 258,000, the most in a year. Analysts point to Hurricane Helene, Boeing strike

Associated Press•Oct 10, 2024

Jobless claims surge by 33K to highest level in over a year — here’s why

New York Post•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.83