Question

What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in April 2021?

Resolved :628k659k

20 comments20

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction659k (622k - 706k)

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My Prediction

community

<600k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1M

...

14.9%

621.7k

659.2k

706k

0.1%

What was the final result?628k

Community Baseline Score

11.7

Community Peer Score

14.4

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Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

What To Expect From January’s CPI Inflation Report

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Number seeking unemployment drops right before holidays after big jump a week ago

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.79

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

What To Expect From January’s CPI Inflation Report

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Number seeking unemployment drops right before holidays after big jump a week ago

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.79

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%