Question
When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction2031-09-24 (2027-09-03 - 2044-01-02)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<2025-01-01 | 11.1% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | Sep 2027 | — |
median | Sep 2031 | — |
upper 75% | Jan 2044 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2050-12-26 | 18.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2056
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2056
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch