Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?

8
4
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction2031-12-28 (2027-10-26 - 2048-08-21)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<2025-01-01
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2050-12-26
...
...
...
...
...
10.3%
2027-10-26 15:09
2031-12-28 23:35
2048-08-21 06:16
21.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
SpaceX reusable launch system
Blue Origin
Rocket Lab

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