Question

Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023?

Resolved :No15%

31 comments31

Total Forecasters92

Community Prediction15% (12% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

9.4

Community Peer Score

13.2

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Aug 11, 2021

Closes:

Mar 27, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 7, 2023

Sports & Entertainment

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Jeff Bezos bans Washington Post opinion writers from opposing ‘free speech and free markets’

Verge•Feb 27, 2025

Bezos' changes at 'Washington Post' lead to mass subscription cancellations — again

NPR Online News•Mar 1, 2025

Washington Post subscribers cancel in droves after Jeff Bezos overhauls opinion page

New York Post•Mar 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

49.5%

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

2.5%

When will the US break up Meta Platforms?

2030-01-01

Comments

? comments