Question

Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023?

Resolved :No15%

31 comments31

Total Forecasters92

Community Prediction15% (12% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

9.4

Community Peer Score

13.2

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Aug 11, 2021

Closes:

Mar 27, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 7, 2023

Sports & Entertainment

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Jeff Bezos fires back at trans podcaster who called him 'fascist' for Washington Post opinion overhaul

Daily Mail•Mar 4, 2025

Why Is Everyone Suddenly on Substack?

Newsweek•Mar 5, 2025

The LA Times’ new AI tool sympathized with the KKK. Its owner wasn’t aware until hours later

CNN•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

49.5%

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

2.5%

When will the US break up Meta Platforms?

2030-01-01

Comments

? comments