Question

What will be the absolute efficacy of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?

Resolved :54.6

6 comments6

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction73.7

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

66.02

73.73

83.75

What was the final result?54.6

Community Baseline Score

-22.9

Community Peer Score

26.5

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

Comments

? comments