Question

What will the US Q2 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?

Resolved :6.58.66

19 comments19

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction8.66 (7.22 - 10.1)

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CDF

My Prediction

community

<-35

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>35

...

0.2%

7.223

8.664

10.11

0.2%

What was the final result?6.5

Community Baseline Score

101.0

Community Peer Score

6.8

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Feb 13, 2021

Closes:

Jul 1, 2021

Resolves:

Jul 29, 2021

Bureau of Economic Analysis

U.S. economy grew at a healthy 2.3% pace last quarter, driven by increased consumer spending

CBS•Jan 30, 2025

U.S. Economy Grew 2.3 Percent in Fourth Quarter

New York Times•Jan 30, 2025

The economy grew 2.3% in the fourth quarter. What it could mean for Fed rate cuts

USA Today•Jan 30, 2025

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