Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the total world military expenditure in 2021, as reported by SIPRI?

Resolved :2.02k2.07k
6
12
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction2.07k (1.99k - 2.17k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<1.5k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2.5k
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
1.987k
2.07k
2.174k
3.5%

What was the final result?2.02k

Community Baseline Score
64.2
Community Peer Score
24.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
danohu
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Stockholm
US dollar
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

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