Question

When will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?

Resolved :Feb 27, 20212021-02-23

10 comments10

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction2021-02-23 (2021-02-17 - 2021-03-02)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2021-12-31

...

2021-02-17 18:01

2021-02-23 14:41

2021-03-02 02:40

0.9%

What was the final result?Feb 27, 2021

Community Baseline Score

106.3

Community Peer Score

13.5

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2021 Leaderboard

Food and Drug Administration

Russia To Launch Free Cancer Vaccine in 2025

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Vaccine misinformation distorts science – a biochemist explains how RFK Jr. and his lawyer’s claims threaten public health

The Conversation•Dec 17, 2024

Russian Cancer Vaccine: Scientists 'Very Skeptical'

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Comments

? comments