Question

When will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?

Resolved :Feb 27, 2021

10 comments10

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction2021-02-23

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2021-12-31

...

2021-02-17 18:01

2021-02-23 14:41

2021-03-02 02:40

0.9%

What was the final result?Feb 27, 2021

Community Baseline Score

106.3

Community Peer Score

13.5

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Food and Drug Administration

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Food and Drug Administration

Johnson & Johnson Enters Oversold Territory

Forbes•Nov 12, 2024

Many more seniors are getting COVID shots this year, CDC reports

CBS•Nov 14, 2024

FDA vaccines chief hopes for common ground with RFK Jr.

CBS•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%