Question

By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?

Resolved :Yes

62 comments62

Total Forecasters331

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

28.5

Community Peer Score

24.1

median 95.0%mean 91.6%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2024 Elections (US)

Federal Election Commission

Joe Biden

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

3.7%

What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2024 Elections (US)

Federal Election Commission

Joe Biden

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If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

3.7%