🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?

Resolved :Yes95%
24
62
Total Forecasters331
Community Prediction95% (92% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
28.5
Community Peer Score
24.1
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2024 Elections (US)
Federal Election Commission
Joe Biden

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