Question

By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?

Resolved :Yes

62 comments62

Total Forecasters331

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

28.5

Community Peer Score

24.1

median 95.0%mean 91.6%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2024 Elections (US)

Federal Election Commission

Joe Biden

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?

63.6

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2024 Elections (US)

Federal Election Commission

Joe Biden

From attorney at law to Commander-in-Chief a look at the highs and lows of Joe Biden's life as he turns 82

Daily Mail•Nov 20, 2024

Biden skips questions at G20 summit — despite reporter’s desperate pleas: ‘We haven’t heard from you all trip!’

New York Post•Nov 21, 2024

Joe Biden turns 82 as Democrats begin search for younger party leaders

Guardian•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?

63.6