Question

Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022?

Resolved :No

49 comments49

Total Forecasters165

Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

median 3.0%mean 6.3%

Authors:

adamr

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Doug Ducey

116th United States Congress

Republican Party (US)

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

adamr

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Doug Ducey

116th United States Congress

Republican Party (US)

Liz Cheney hits the trail for Harris in the birthplace of the Republican Party

NBC•Oct 3, 2024

Cassidy Hutchinson: Trump has warped the GOP in his own image

MSNBC•Oct 3, 2024

Trump's Candidates Are Falling Behind Even in States He's Winning

Newsweek•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

20%

MetaculusM

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Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Comments

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?