Question
When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction2072-12-29 (2056-02-15 - 2100-08-21)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2056 | — |
| median | 2072 | — |
| upper 75% | 2100 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2119-12-22 | 19.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 23, 2021
Closes:Dec 23, 2119
Scheduled resolution:Dec 23, 2119
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Authors:
Opened:May 23, 2021
Closes:Dec 23, 2119
Scheduled resolution:Dec 23, 2119
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch