Question

On what date will the number of people currently hospitalized in the US due to COVID-19 first fall below 30k?

Resolved :May 10, 20212021-03-28

21 comments21

Total Forecasters66

Community Prediction2021-03-28 (2021-03-21 - 2021-04-04)

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CDF

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2021-12-30

...

2021-03-21 09:24

2021-03-28 05:01

2021-04-04 11:51

0.1%

What was the final result?May 10, 2021

Community Baseline Score

10.0

Community Peer Score

19.9

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Authors:

taskaryan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

More US hospitals bring back mask mandates amid fears of quad-demic

Daily Mail•Jan 11, 2025

Covid and flu rates rise across the US, according to the CDC

Guardian•Jan 5, 2025

Mapped: How many flu cases are in my area as hospitals declare critical incidents?

Independent•Jan 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

12k

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

127

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

taskaryan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

More US hospitals bring back mask mandates amid fears of quad-demic

Daily Mail•Jan 11, 2025

Covid and flu rates rise across the US, according to the CDC

Guardian•Jan 5, 2025

Mapped: How many flu cases are in my area as hospitals declare critical incidents?

Independent•Jan 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

12k

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

127

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

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On what date will the number of people currently hospitalized in the US due to COVID-19 first fall below 30k?

Make a Prediction

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?