Question

Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?

Resolved :Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction82%

Make a Prediction

community: 82%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

66.7

Community Peer Score

1.1

median 82.0%mean 81.4%

Authors:

Fee

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration

Taliban

Afghanistan

War in Afghanistan (2001–present)

US Department of Defense

US Armed Forces

Will the United States withdraw from any of its current mutual defence treaties by 2030?

15%

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Fee

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration

Taliban

Afghanistan

War in Afghanistan (2001–present)

US Department of Defense

US Armed Forces

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Will the United States withdraw from any of its current mutual defence treaties by 2030?

15%

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%