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Question

When will a SpaceX Starship upper stage successfully land?

Resolved :Mar 3, 20212021-03-06
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction2021-03-06 (2021-02-28 - 2021-03-16)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%28 Feb 2021
median06 Mar 2021
upper 75%16 Mar 2021
Upper bound
>2022-06-300.2%

What was the final result?Mar 3, 2021

Community Baseline Score
4.5
Community Peer Score
1.2
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2022
Resolves:Jul 1, 2022

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