Question

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

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Elections

Politics

Democratic Party (US)

116th United States Congress

Here's Who Leads the Pack for Democrats' Choice in 2028

Townhall•Nov 20, 2024

2024 marks a 21st century rarity: Almost everyone thinks the election results are legitimate

CNN•Nov 20, 2024

Democratic voters reveal the candidate they overwhelmingly want to run for President in 2028

Daily Mail•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

53%

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? → Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%

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