Question

[Short Fuse] Will SpaceX's SN10 Starship prototype vehicle land successfully?

Resolved :Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters133

Community Prediction55%

Make a Prediction

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

22.0

Community Peer Score

4.8

median 55.0%mean 55.0%

Authors:

chrisjbillington

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

2024-12-18

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

24%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

chrisjbillington

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Starship: When will SpaceX's next 'chopstick' test flight go ahead?

New Scientist•Oct 11, 2024

SpaceX will attempt historic catch of returning Starship booster on Sunday

TechCrunch•Oct 12, 2024

Starship flight 5: SpaceX will attempt ‘chopstick’ landing

CNN•Oct 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

2024-12-18

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

24%