Question

What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?

Resolved :1.1

5 comments5

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction1.34

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<0.442

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>3.2

...

4.7%

1.064

1.344

1.576

0.4%

What was the final result?1.1

Community Baseline Score

43.6

Community Peer Score

11.2

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MetaculusOutlooks

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Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

TOP500

ISC High Performance

IEEE Supercomputing Conference

LINPACK benchmarks

Software engineering

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20.9

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244

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