Question
How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?
Resolved :1.21k1.46kTotal Forecasters31
Community Prediction1.46k (1.18k - 1.76k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <400 | 1.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.184k | — |
| median | 1.464k | — |
| upper 75% | 1.763k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >6.5k | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?1.21k
Community Baseline Score
81.4
Community Peer Score
0.3
Authors:
Opened:Feb 14, 2021
Closes:Apr 14, 2021
Resolves:Apr 19, 2023
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Feb 14, 2021
Closes:Apr 14, 2021
Resolves:Apr 19, 2023
