Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?

Resolved :Oct 28, 20212021-05-11
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction2021-05-11 (2021-04-04 - 2021-07-12)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-02-11
...
...
...
...
2021-04-04 15:09
2021-05-11 08:35
2021-07-12 02:55
1.1%

What was the final result?Oct 28, 2021

Community Baseline Score
-37.8
Community Peer Score
14.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
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