Question

Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA before 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

32.2

Community Peer Score

1.4

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Feb 12, 2021

Closes:

Mar 30, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 30, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

Food and Drug Administration

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

What to Expect from RFK Jr.’s Confirmation Hearings

Time•Jan 29, 2025

RFK, Jr., Confirmation Hearing Is Tomorrow. Here’s What to Know

Scientific American•Jan 29, 2025

Five Key Factors To Watch Out For Ahead Of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s Confirmation Hearings

Daily Caller•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?

83%

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

2032-12-16

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Feb 12, 2021

Closes:

Mar 30, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 30, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

Food and Drug Administration

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

What to Expect from RFK Jr.’s Confirmation Hearings

Time•Jan 29, 2025

RFK, Jr., Confirmation Hearing Is Tomorrow. Here’s What to Know

Scientific American•Jan 29, 2025

Five Key Factors To Watch Out For Ahead Of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s Confirmation Hearings

Daily Caller•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?

83%

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

2032-12-16