Question

Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA before 2022?

Resolved :Yes

5 comments5

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

32.2

Community Peer Score

1.4

median 99.0%mean 97.6%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Food and Drug Administration

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Food and Drug Administration

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

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Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06