Question

If Donald J. Trump is indicted on criminal charges before 2030, when will the first such indictment happen?

Resolved :Apr 4, 2023

22 comments22

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction2022-05-08

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2021-10-27 13:38

2022-05-08 19:31

2023-02-19 00:59

What was the final result?Apr 4, 2023

Community Baseline Score

11.3

Community Peer Score

17.7

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Can Donald Trump Be Tried Again if Juan Merchan Tosses His Case?

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

What Supreme Court’s Immunity Ruling Means For Trump’s Second Term

Forbes•Nov 13, 2024

What happens to Donald Trump’s criminal conviction? Here are a few ways it could go

Associated Press•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2029-10-05

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Comments

? comments