Question

Will the 7-day rolling average of COVID vaccine doses administered in the US exceed 3M in 2021?

Resolved :Yes80%

11 comments11

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction80% (70% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

67.3

Community Peer Score

0.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

taskaryan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

•Dec 20, 2024

U.S. population surpasses 340M, highest growth rate since 2001

•Dec 20, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

334

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

taskaryan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

•Dec 20, 2024

U.S. population surpasses 340M, highest growth rate since 2001

•Dec 20, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

334

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k