Question

When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction2025-12

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2025-12

...

2025-11

2025-12

73.7%

Authors:

Anthony

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Closes:

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How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.03

If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.81

Comments

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Free COVID tests return as CDC says this one variant now accounts for nearly 60% of cases

USA Today•Oct 1, 2024

The 'horrific' reason fentanyl deaths are going down

Daily Mail•Oct 2, 2024

COVID Map Update Shows US States With 'Very High' Wastewater Viral Activity

Newsweek•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.03

If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.81

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When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?

Make a Prediction

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?